TEMPEST ON THE TYNE? NEWCASTLE FALCONS V BATH
Obano: return?
By PG Tips
December 20 2024
Bath face the prospect of a stormy welcome when they face Newcastle Falcons late on Saturday afternoon. High winds, gusting above 50 miles an hour are expected, plus an increasing risk of heavy rain as the evening develops. The weather will not be the only tempestuous actor. The Falcons, fighting for survival and relishing the leveller of the conditions, will seek to buffet their visitors and rain on their parade. Bath must be on their guard against a third successive defeat blowing their season off course.
Newcastle have seemed to be perennial Premiership whipping boys for so long that it is easy to forget how hard they can be to beat at home. Indeed, a few years ago under Dean Richards they were frequently too streetwise for Bath and even made the playoffs in 2018. Now, another no-nonsense Director of Rugby, Steve Diamond is forging them into “rough diamonds” in his own image. Confident that they understand best the vagaries of their own patch, he will get them playing a simple game of percentages and territory.
Men to watch for the Falcons will mostly be up front. The robust and bustling Blamire looked a likely long term international for a while and will be hopeful of catching the eye again. He is supported to gnarled props in Brocklebank and Bello. Behind them an uncompromising back row -probably Rubiolo, Chick and Neild will pounce on any error. Behind them halfbacks Stuart and Connon will look to kick their marauding forward into positions where they can pressurise and disrupt. This may not be a day for runners, except in chasing duties, but wings like Stevenson and Radwan will relish the chance to swoop like raptors onto any loose ball kicked behind the defence.
After two narrow defeats in the European Champions Cup, Bath need to prove, to themselves, supporters and critics that their recent dip in form was a temporary blip only. That probably means a back-to-basics game to suit the conditions, control possession and territory and cut out the mistakes that have undone them in recent weeks. A solid scrum throughout is essential so the loss of Archie Griffin to shoulder injury is a big blow. Hopefully Beno Obano is finally fit to take part. If so he may make the bench, allowing Du Toit and Stuart to share the tighthead role. One possible front row change could be a rest for Tom Dunn. Bath’s lineout has struggled recently so Niall Annett’s greater accuracy may win him the nod and a break may help fire Dunny up for the visit of Saracens after Christmas. Sam Underhill may not yet be ready so a back row of Hill, Barbeary and Reid looks likely, with Coetzee and Pepper as backup to provide the carrying and jackal threats for the final stages.
With defence and directness the order of the day, Will Butt could find himself recalled at centre. Bath’s midfield is another area that has not “clicked” consistently for a while so a route one gameplan may be the prescription, as well as the right call for the weather. This may be a game too early for Ben Spencer. If so, Schreuder will probably start, although many would like to see Carr-Smith promoted. A dryer day and a home tie may be the better time to start him.
Whatever the selection, simple, mistake free rugby will be essential. Hopefully Richard Blaze has been drilling the lineout all week, not just on Bath’s own ball, but in disrupting opposition throws and exploiting the chaos. Expect a mean and claustrophobic defence, kicking control from the halfbacks and ruthless close quarter drives from the forwards. The gusts that greet the visitors can trouble the hosts too. Even the most robust falcon can be put off it's hover and swoop. Bath must see to that. Pretty can wait. A win, by any means, is the priority to set Bath on the way to their Christmas break.
Possible Teams;
Bath:Van Wyk, Annett, Du Toit, Roux, Ewels ©, Hill, Reid, Barbeary. Schreuder, Russell. Muir, Butt, Lawrence, Cokanasiga. De Glanville.
Replacements: Obano, Tuipolotu, Stuart, Molony, Coetzee. Carr-Smith, Bailey, Pepper.
Newcastle Falcons: Brocklebank, Blamire, Bello, Van der Walt, De Chaves, Rubiolo, Chick,Neild. Stuart, Connon. Stevenson, Hutchinson, Arnold, Radwan. Grayson.
Replacements: Fletcher, Rewcastle, Palframan, Leatherbarow, M Pepper. Spencer. Hearle.
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Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 2024:12:24:12:03:04 by hasta.
Rubiolo is out for the season and has joined Bristol early so he won’t be involved.
Anything other than a five pointer tomorrow is going to be a disappointment.
This *should* be a comfortable away win but the weather plus a plastic pitch plus rotation/injuries makes it very much a banana skin.
I hope last week's selection shows JVG is putting the Prem first in the priority list. Last year we were top at Christmas then fielded a weakened side at Tigers, slipped down the table and then struggled to regain momentum until after the 6N.
Maybe the Benetton result will be the spur we need to avoid history repeating itself.
The last two weeks have also shown us - if we needed showing - how important Spencer is to the team. Obviously he's a Test class 9 but more than that he gives the team steel and influences performances across the park. We need him back as soon as possible.
Quote:theredseat
I’d be surprised if Pepper doesn’t start this one and think Redpath will at least be in the 23.
Rubiolo is out for the season and has joined Bristol early so he won’t be involved.
Equally wouldn't you stick ex-Bath centre Max Clarke in to liven up the rivalry?

Bath Rugby: 1 Francois van Wyk, 2 Tom Dunn, 3 Will Stuart, 4 Quinn Roux, 5 Charlie Ewels, 6 Josh Bayliss, 7 Guy Pepper, 8 Alfie Barbeary, 9 Ben Spencer, 10 Finn Russell, 11 Will Muir, 12 Cameron Redpath, 13 Ollie Lawrence, 14 Joe Cokanasiga, 15 Tom de Glanville
Replacements: 16 Niall Annett, 17 Beno Obano, 18 Thomas du Toit, 19 Ted Hill, 20 Sam Underhill, 21 Tom Carr-Smith, 22 Will Butt, 23 Jaco Coetzee
Really good to see Obano, Underhill, Spencer back.
PG
Looks like it could be pretty blowy which we've struggled with in the last couple of seasons.
I know people aren't fans of the 6-2 split but having two utility backs in your 23 is quite a blessing

1 Murray McCallum
2 Jamie Blamire
3 Richard Palframan
4 Sebastian de Chaves
5 Kiran McDonald Seran
6 Freddie Lockwood
7 Tom Gordon
8 Callum Chick
09 Sam Stuart
10 Brett Connon
11 Ben Stevenson
12 Cameron Hutchison
13 Alex Hearle
14 Adam Radwan
15 Ben Redshaw
16 Ollie Fletcher, 17 Mike Rewcastle, 18 Callum Hancock, 19 Philip van der Walt, 20 Ollie Leatherbarrow
21 Hugh O'Sullivan, 22 Kieran Wilkinson, 23 Oli Spencer
RAEBURN SHIELD
I am sure JvG & Co will have drilled any thoughts of over confidence out of the 23 - Falcons no matter who they select on their own patch in mid winter will always be competitive and one thing you can be sure of they will be fired up and abrasive.
On the Newcastle site, it lists who's unavailable, and unfortunately for them it looks like a pretty long list of pretty good players. Hoping Ben and Finn can guide us and especially our pack through the wind to any kind of win. I'd take 9-3.
Where's the evidence of us doing any sort of underestimating? We've picked our strongest team!
2024/25 adoptee: Guy Pepper
Quote:OutsideBath
Bath's discipline in terms of cards is significantly worse than Falcons, so keeping 15 players on the pitch has to be a priority. Got to keep on the right side of the ref, although as it's Tempest that's going to be difficult for Bath.
As well as Dickson on the line !

Adopted Player 2018/19 Ross Batty
Adopted Player 2019/20 Jack Davies
Adopted Player 2020/21 Cam Redpath
Adopted Player 2021/22 Darren Atkins
Adopted Player 2022/23 Gabriel Hamer-Webb
Adopted Player 2023/24 Tom Carr-Smith
Adopted Player 2024/25 Max Ojomoh
"AN OUNCE OF ACTION IS WORTH A TON OF THEORY"
FRIEDRICH ENGELS


Quote:theredseat
That’s a proper bomb squad of a bench we’ve got there. No excuse for not coming away with max points with that lot on the pitch for the last 20/30 mins
I would not count on "max" points f the wind is tas unpredictable as forecasted. Kingston Park is no place for basketball rugby on a stormy day.
PG
Quote:shipwrecked
Wind 50mph and gusty at KO on Saturday. Doesn't say how acidic and what the pH is though.
It's Newcastle so all we need to say is the weather will be freezing cold and the local lads will be topless!
I'd settle for a 3-0 win on Saturday.
Quote:OutsideBathQuote:shipwrecked
Wind 50mph and gusty at KO on Saturday. Doesn't say how acidic and what the pH is though.
It's Newcastle so all we need to say is the weather will be freezing cold and the local lads will be topless!
I'd settle for a 3-0 win on Saturday.
Which game OB you have a massive dilemma , Bath or Crystal Palace, same day, same KO time!

Quote:shipwrecked
Significantly for me TCS replaces Schreuder on the bench.
I wonder if he has a knock, as an ex Falcon his knowledge of that awful pitch and it's exposure would have been valuable. I might have started him and had Ben in reserve.
The big west stand will afford some protection from the wind but box kicking will be wayward, don't give Radwan an opportunity to run at us.
Quote:shipwreckedQuote:OutsideBathQuote:shipwrecked
Wind 50mph and gusty at KO on Saturday. Doesn't say how acidic and what the pH is though.
It's Newcastle so all we need to say is the weather will be freezing cold and the local lads will be topless!
I'd settle for a 3-0 win on Saturday.
Which game OB you have a massive dilemma , Bath or Crystal Palace, same day, same KO time!
Definitely thinking of the Bath game SW, 3-0 would do nicely.
If I was thinking of Arsenal the best I can hope for is 1-0, we're pretty hopeless this season thanks to Arteta not buying a striker.
Quote:OutsideBathQuote:shipwreckedQuote:OutsideBathQuote:shipwrecked
Wind 50mph and gusty at KO on Saturday. Doesn't say how acidic and what the pH is though.
It's Newcastle so all we need to say is the weather will be freezing cold and the local lads will be topless!
I'd settle for a 3-0 win on Saturday.
Which game OB you have a massive dilemma , Bath or Crystal Palace, same day, same KO time!
Definitely thinking of the Bath game SW, 3-0 would do nicely.
If I was thinking of Arsenal the best I can hope for is 1-0, we're pretty hopeless this season thanks to Arteta not buying a striker.
He's after Alexander Isak isn't he?
As for Bath I agree any win will do.

Quote:Francis AllenQuote:shipwrecked
Significantly for me TCS replaces Schreuder on the bench.
I wonder if he has a knock, as an ex Falcon his knowledge of that awful pitch and it's exposure would have been valuable. I might have started him and had Ben in reserve.
.
Yeah I am interested as to whether schreuder has a knock or TCS is a proactive selection.
Did bailey get a knock last week? Think someone said he was heavily strapped?
That's a weird one not having him in the 23 if not. Cam covers 10 I guess but would rather have the option of bailey personally.
As an aside what ok earth is harris' injury? Was out for ages last season, came back briefly and has been out for ages again
Quote:OutsideBath
Bailey did have heavy strapping last week and if I recall correctly he was down for a knock. Could just as easily been a pick on form though, he didn’t have a good game.
Everyone’s got an opinion but I don’t think he played badly at all. Made the wrong decision yea with the pass but that was great defending. Kicked well which we haven’t seen him for for a long while. Looked fairly composed with the ball. And got us back to the lead of the game. Considering he’s just been dropped into a game after getting a few minute each game I think it was a pretty positive outing.
As for this week I think it’s just wanting a different position on the bench so he misses out.

Quote:shipwrecked
I agree and even the intercept was a bit unlucky, to keep that move alive the ball had to go quickly, its not like the Chris Malone intercepts of the past after all!
Crikey - new memory unlocked. Molly really did specialise in those didn't he? Thankfully a few last-minute drop goals drown out the memory of them somewhat.
Agree re: Bailey. Filling in for arguably the world's best 10 twinned with the fact he's not had many minutes must be a fairly daunting assignment. Thought he did ok.
Today the important thing is how do we win on that awful pitch in what is forecast to be awful weather. Ironically it’s not ideal conditions for Finn, so suspect it’ll be down to the forwards to try and find a way to win. Surprised Dunn was given the nod given how poor his throwing was in the wind against La Rochelle.

Quote:Barfboy
Going to be that person...is it on the box? Can't see it on Discovery+ app and they're just advertising Exe game.
TNT Extra I believe
Quote:A.M 180
Oh come on Joe
Really need to start talking about Joe…
’’Paint the whole world with a rainbow”
New 5 - 5 Bath
3 min
RAEBURN SHIELD
Finn converts, 12-14
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2024:12:21:17:48:08 by A.M 180.
Hugo Southwell on Comms pointing out his arm was already heavily strapped so might have just been a tweak
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2024:12:21:17:52:41 by A.M 180.
Bayliss has been immense already it's worth noting
This has been a fun 1st half
IIRC, he's played all bar 1 of our senior matches - and most of the PRC
RAEBURN SHIELD
We need to completely stamp our power in second half - that last period of play when Stuart went over was massive to both teams - if Falcons had held out they would have taken such confidence.
We were patient and we need to show that patience in the second half - there will be times when it won’t go our way but we need to trust and stick to our game plans. Fully expect Falcons to come flying out of the blocks if we can blunt them and wear them down and bring on that bench then I believe we will be in business.
Try BP secured, now to close out the match
RAEBURN SHIELD
Quote:agreed, thought Tempo was a bit generous to us.A.M 180
Ewels looked a little high there but Tempest is happy
Not like Charlie's reputation earns that leeway either, but I'll take it!
RAEBURN SHIELD
I'm going to say we will win this game...
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2024:12:21:18:50:02 by A.M 180.
THP is really not a position I want to see someone playing on with a knee/ankle injury
RAEBURN SHIELD
Quote:nice one, centurionA.M 180
10 mins or Harlem Globetrotter stuff to look forward to here
RAEBURN SHIELD
Quote:Dorset Boy
Good win in difficult conditions. Difference in the benches was huge.
Even though it was irritating, the coaches decision to give up on the CC last weekend proved to be entirely correct decision. Newcastle isn’t an easy place to win and that scoreline looks impressive.
Joe C can't catch. Will Muir can catch anything. Finn Russell has magic powers in judging the wind (5 from 5). If FR and BS go off we have no other kickers. Need a cure for white line fever.

Having advocated a "back to basics" style, I was delighted to see the variety of play attempted. OK- not everything came off, but in the conditions that 70-80M break out down the left late in the second half was an ambitious thing of beauty.
Great credit to Newcastle, who but for judicious use of the bench by JvG might have sneaked a second half try to add to their early scores and kept pressing throughout.
Bath though had too much and got most of the gameplan and judgement calls right.
6 tries from 6 different scorers, with the backs much more involved than expected, bodes well. Now for (not too much) Christmas celebration and then a reprise against Saracens.
We don't demand much do we?
PG
Quote:Shpwrecked
Need a cure for white line fever.
Quite, SW, we are 5 tries behind brizzle and only scored 6 tonight and blame the wind!

Quote:OutsideBath
Bath's discipline in terms of cards is significantly worse than Falcons, so keeping 15 players on the pitch has to be a priority. Got to keep on the right side of the ref, although as it's Tempest that's going to be difficult for Bath.
Well, given that weather made a few facets of the game a gamble, I feel our discipline was pretty sound. I also thought Tempest controlled the game well and do not believe Bath got on the wrong side of him.
PG
Special mention for Dunn, who I thought was superb. A lot of talk on here (inc from me) of needing to upgrade our hooker. Still might be the case going forward- but tonight in tough conditions he gave a classic Dunn-like performance, full of involvements and heart.
Couple of knocks but don’t think any injuries. Bring on Sarries!
2024/25 adoptee: Guy Pepper
Seen Diamond’s post-match comments: any one else getting sick of his constant whinging about Bath’s squad and the salary cap?
I mean, I get Falcons are struggling for funds but that’s not Bath’s fault, and if Bath have grievously breached the cap then they deserve everything they get, but if you haven’t got any evidence of that stop throwing your own @#$%& around and hoping it sticks…
Quote:SJS
Well done Bath, glad we made it through that - had the potential to go horribly wrong after the first score!
Seen Diamond’s post-match comments: any one else getting sick of his constant whinging about Bath’s squad and the salary cap?
I mean, I get Falcons are struggling for funds but that’s not Bath’s fault, and if Bath have grievously breached the cap then they deserve everything they get, but if you haven’t got any evidence of that stop throwing your own @#$%& around and hoping it sticks…
The man is utterly tiresome and frankly I am sick of him being spoken about as ‘a character’ particularly by commentators.
’’Paint the whole world with a rainbow”
My MotM - Tom DeGlanville. On a horrible night on a horrible pitch, he was solid in defence and enterprising in attack.
... IMHO, of course.
Now in Honolulu
Quote:P G TipsQuote:OutsideBath
Bath's discipline in terms of cards is significantly worse than Falcons, so keeping 15 players on the pitch has to be a priority. Got to keep on the right side of the ref, although as it's Tempest that's going to be difficult for Bath.
Well, given that weather made a few facets of the game a gamble, I feel our discipline was pretty sound. I also thought Tempest controlled the game well and do not believe Bath got on the wrong side of him.
PG
Good to hear we maintained good discipline this week after the daft cards we got last week, would have been easy to get yellow cards with Tempest in charge.
As hasta says its pretty bonkers to be able to bring beno, tdt, hill and coetzee on at 55 mins. Then underhill later.
One tiny gripe- get TCS on 5 mins earlier- give him more exposure and protect a key player who has had a hammy niggle. Game was won.
Must be soul destroying for opponents to see that bench , esp someone like falcons with half the budget and down to the bare bones.
I don't really have an issue with diamond these days- I used to think he was a wally but a lot has happened in his personal life over recent years. He is still spiky but I think has more balance about him and expect he is quite a good bloke behind closed doors. Hope he gets his investment and an extra 1m playing budget and we can judge him on how he does. A stronger newcastle will be good news for everyone I think
Quote:Charlieboa1
As an aside what ok earth is harris' injury? Was out for ages last season, came back briefly and has been out for ages again
It's a calf injury of some sort Charlie. Just after he scored that cracking try against Bris a cover defender leapt on his calf when he was prone. You could see him hobble and favour it for a few minutes before carrying on.
pg
Quote:P G TipsQuote:Charlieboa1
As an aside what ok earth is harris' injury? Was out for ages last season, came back briefly and has been out for ages again
It's a calf injury of some sort Charlie. Just after he scored that cracking try against Bris a cover defender leapt on his calf when he was prone. You could see him hobble and favour it for a few minutes before carrying on.
pg
I think it was Max Malins who was covering across at some rate & not in Sam Harris’s line of sight. I think Malins took a knock then too.
Quote:P G TipsQuote:Charlieboa1
As an aside what ok earth is harris' injury? Was out for ages last season, came back briefly and has been out for ages again
It's a calf injury of some sort Charlie. Just after he scored that cracking try against Bris a cover defender leapt on his calf when he was prone. You could see him hobble and favour it for a few minutes before carrying on.
pg
Thank pgt.
Did wonder if it was that incident.
Looked a bit inconsequential to put him out for so long- really hope he is back soon, if we pick up any injuries in the backs we will really miss his ability to cover several positions.
Player ratings
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Was nice to see alfie back after a few weeks out with his head knock and back near his rampaging best
If he's evidence of us (or others) breaking the cap, rather than "complimenting our accounting department" or whatever, he's welcome to share it. If he doesn't, then the rules of the league are thus and we're playing fairly within them. Of course, we're lucky to have Bruce's millions but it's not our fault that other teams can't afford to take advantage of the financial stipulations. Baxter, for example, handles such matters with much more class. It's a bit like Mack Hansen's comments about Connacht not getting any referee calls. "I'm not making excuses BUT [ insert an excuse here ]."
Also, I know we're lucky enough to be able to spend up to the cap, but I'd argue our only "Galacticos" are Russell and TDT. I'd make an argument for almost every single other member of our Cup Final XV being good business (e.g. Spencer, Redpath, Lawrence, Barbeary), the product of good coaching (e.g. our academy products plus the likes of Muir) and our offering being more attractive than alternatives (e.g. Pepper). But that system/offering has taken years to refine and only now is reaping a little success. It's not like we've bought overnight success- and that's always Diamond's insinuation- that we've simply splashed cash to buy the league. It'd be nice to be shown a little more respect, because if JvG started bad mouthing in the opposite direction, you can only imagine the fallout.
2024/25 adoptee: Guy Pepper
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2024:12:23:11:34:41 by A.M 180.
Quote:Dr.bath 1865
that we've simply splashed cash to buy the league
Perhaps Diamond needs to look at Newcastle's own history before lobbing stones.
Ironically, that is exactly what Newcastle did in the first professional season, bringing in the likes of Rob Andrew, Inga Tuigamala, Doddie Weir, John Bentley and Alan Tait to name but a few.
And yes, they did go on to win the Premiership that year.
Quote:A.M 180
Diamond is the kind of guy who thinks us picking up the Worcester lads is what made them go bust, despite literally having been in the chair
That’s untrue he actually thanked Bath for giving those guys jobs
Widcombe Garçon
Quote:Widcombe boyQuote:A.M 180
Diamond is the kind of guy who thinks us picking up the Worcester lads is what made them go bust, despite literally having been in the chair
That’s untrue he actually thanked Bath for giving those guys jobs
That's my memory of it, was grateful for bath helping keep some players jobs and said we handled it with respect to wuss
Quote:dr.bath1865
I find Diamond's sniping plain petulant. His obsession with is really sour and tired.
If he's evidence of us (or others) breaking the cap, rather than "complimenting our accounting department" or whatever, he's welcome to share it. If he doesn't, then the rules of the league are thus and we're playing fairly within them. Of course, we're lucky to have Bruce's millions but it's not our fault that other teams can't afford to take advantage of the financial stipulations. Baxter, for example, handles such matters with much more class. It's a bit like Mack Hansen's comments about Connacht not getting any referee calls. "I'm not making excuses BUT [ insert an excuse here ]."
Also, I know we're lucky enough to be able to spend up to the cap, but I'd argue our only "Galacticos" are Russell and TDT. I'd make an argument for almost every single other member of our Cup Final XV being good business (e.g. Spencer, Redpath, Lawrence, Barbeary), the product of good coaching (e.g. our academy products plus the likes of Muir) and our offering being more attractive than alternatives (e.g. Pepper). But that system/offering has taken years to refine and only now is reaping a little success. It's not like we've bought overnight success- and that's always Diamond's insinuation- that we've simply splashed cash to buy the league. It'd be nice to be shown a little more respect, because if JvG started bad mouthing in the opposite direction, you can only imagine the fallout.
I'd also argue that TdT was NOT a galactico when we signed him.
TdT is brilliant and so important to us but as it stands Internationally he is a squad player not a nailed on starter or even first 23.
When I look at our squad if it were based on current Internationals are we really brimming with stars? Yes we have Russell but Tigers have Pollard, Quins have Smith & Sale have Ford - other teams such as Tigers, Saints and Sarries have just as many if not more current International stars - yet we always appear to be linked to every player going and accused of breaching salary caps? It does get boring.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2024:12:23:15:35:41 by Ali1969.
