JonW's analysis of the remaining games
By JonW
January 28 2007
This is how I think, (and hope!!) the games will pan out over the final weeks of the season. There are 8 GP games left for most, but some still have 1 game in hand, to be played on March 23rd, which could be vital to all involved, and even more so for those that are not.
Will Worcester Survive?!
This is how I think, (and hope!!) the games will pan out over the final weeks of the season. There are 8 GP games left for most, but some still have 1 game in hand, to be played on March 23rd, which could be vital to all involved, and even more so for those that are not.
I have run through each of the games involving the bottom 6 of the table, predicting the number of points to be taken from each game.
Weekend of 16th Feb
Irish vs Bath. Irish 4 points, Bath 0 points.
Saints vs Quins. Saints 1 point, Quins 4 points.
Worcester vs Tigers. Wuss 4 points, Tigers 1 point.
Bristol vs Newcastle. Bristol 4 points, Newcastle 0 points.
Quins 34 points
Bath 30 points
Irish 30 points (1 game in hand)
Newcastle 24 points (1 game in hand)
Saints 21 points (1 game in hand)
Worcester 20 points
Weekend of 23rd Feb
Newcastle vs Wasps. Newcastle 4 points, Wasps 1 point.
Sale vs Irish. Sale 4 points, Irish 1 point.
Bath vs Saracens. Bath 1 point, Saracens 4 points.
Gloucester vs Worcester. Gloucester 4 points, Worcester 1 point.
Quins vs Bristol. Quins 4 points, Bristol 1 point.
Tigers vs Saints. Tigers 4 points, Saints 0 points.
Quins 38 points
Bath 31 points
Irish 31 points (1 game in hand)
Newcastle 28 points (1 game in hand)
Saints 21 points (1 game in hand)
Worcester 21 points
Weekend of 2nd March
Tigers vs Quins. Tigers 4 points, Quins 0 points.
Irish vs Newcastle. Irish 4 points, Newcastle 0 points.
Saints vs Gloucester. Saints 1 point, Gloucester 4 points.
Worcester vs Bath. Worcester 4 points, Bath 0 points.
Quins 38 points
Irish 35 points (1 game in hand)
Bath 31 points
Newcastle 28 points (1 game in hand)
Worcester 25 points
Saints 22 points (1 game in hand)
Weekend of 9th March
Newcastle vs Sarries. Newcastle 4 points, Sarries 1 point.
Sale vs Worcester. Sale 4/5 points. Worcester 0 points.
Bath vs Saints. Bath 1 point, Saints 4 points.
Bristol vs Irish. Bristol 4 points, Irish 0 points.
Quins vs Wasps. Quins 1 point, Wasps 4 points.
Quins 39 points
Irish 35 points (1 game in hand)
Newcastle 32 points (1 game in hand)
Bath 32 points
Saints 26 points (1 game in hand)
Worcester 25 points
Weekend of 16th March
Worcester vs Newcastle. Worcester 4 points, Newcastle 1 point.
Gloucester vs Quins. Gloucester 4 points, Quins 1 point.
Leicester vs Bath. Leicester 4/5 points, Bath 0 points.
Saints vs Sale. Saints 1 point, Sale 4 points.
Irish vs Wasps. Irish 1 point, Wasps 4 points.
Quins 40 points
Irish 36 points (1 game in hand)
Newcastle 33 points (1 game in hand)
Bath 32 points
Worcester 29 points
Saints 27 points (1 game in hand)
Weekend of 23rd March
Bristol vs Saints. Bristol 4 points, Saints 0 points.
Gloucester vs Newcastle. Gloucester 4 points, Newcastle 0 points.
Irish vs Sarries. Irish 4 points, Sarries1 point.
Quins 40 points
Irish 40 points
Newcastle 33 points
Bath 32 points
Worcester 29 points
Saints 27 points
Weekend of 6th April
Bath vs Gloucester. Bath 1 point, Gloucester 4 points.
Quins vs Irish. Quins 4 points, Irish 1 point.
Bristol vs Worcester. Bristol 4 points, Worcester 1 point.
Newcastle vs Saints. Newcastle 4 points, Saints 1 point.
Quins 44 points - safe
Irish 41 points - safe
Newcastle 37 points
Bath 33 points
Worcester 30 points
Saints 28 points
Weekend of 13th April
Newcastle vs Gloucester. Newcastle 4 points, Gloucester 1 point.
Sale vs Bath. Sale 4/5 points, Bath 0 points.
Irish vs Worcester. Irish 1 point, Worcester 4 points.
Wasps vs Saints. Wasps 4 points, Saints 0 points.
Newcastle 41 points – safe
Worcester 34 points
Bath 33 points
Saints 28 points
All games Saturday 28th April
Newcastle vs Bath. Newcastle 4 points, Bath 0 points.
Saints vs Irish. Saints 4 points, Irish 1 point.
Worcester vs Saracens. Worcester 4 points, Sarries 1 point.
Worcester 38 points
Bath 33 points
Saints 32 points
So, there you have it. In 5 mins you have seen that Worcester have survived and we were all worried about nothing. Apologies to the Bath fans who probably think that after beating Quins they will be more comfortably safe than that. And further apologies to Saints fans, who surely will also believe that it won't happen this way either. Someone has to finish bottom, and hopefully that won't be Worcester, at the moment it looks as though only Saints can save us.
The above, is all part of a bit of good fun, though serious in the majority, I do understand that there are 3 million other factors to be taken into consideration, also if you look at my prediction league table position, you will see that the chances of the above of very slim!!
