Arsenal One third of the season review
By DJArse
November 15 2023
Just over three months into the season (6 months more to come!) and almost one third of the PL fixtures played, is perhaps a good time to have an initial review of how we are doing.
I will start with some facts and figures
We have played 19 games in total (12 in the PL), winning 13 (8 in the PL), drawing 3 (all in the PL) and losing 3 (1 in the PL, in dubious circumstances away to Newcastle). We have scored 38 goals (26 in the PL) and conceded 17 (10 in the PL), though we have played 7 home games and 5 away (Man City and Spurs have played 5 home and 7 away, Liverpool 6 and 6).
Arsenal are third in the PL table (1 point behind Man City) and on goal difference behind Liverpool. We are top of our (admittedly not very difficult) Champions League group, but have been knocked out of the Carabao Cup. We have 14 different players who have scored goals in all competitions (13 in the PL, which I think is the highest number of any team). We have the joint best defence in the PL and are fifth top scorers in the PL. We are the third youngest PL squad. We have ten players who have played 10 or more PL games so far, suggesting a relatively settled team.
We have had two red cards this season in the PL (only 4 teams have more than us) and 16 yellow cards (the lowest in the PL). I cannot find the statistics on which clubs in the PL have had the most injuries this season, but my guess is that we are around average – some other teams (Newcastle, Spurs etc) have definitely suffered more. We have had Timber out for the whole season; Partey out for more than half the season; and Jesus for just under half the season so far (that’s three first team starters).
Personal Assessment
I think before the season started, most of us would have been happy to be one point behind probably the best club team in the world - Man City - in the PL, and top of our CL group, at this point in the season.
Our defence has been particularly impressive (especially given the loss of Timber before the PL even started ). And while our attack has been less exciting this season, we have failed to score in just one game out of 19 (Newcastle). I agree with most people that we are one top quality attacker short. We have only been able to play our first choice midfield trio (Rice, Partey, Odegaard) in a handful of games. Partey needs to be replaced – ideally this January.
Of the new players: Timber gave a tantalising glimpse of what he may be capable of before his ACL injury; Rice has been consistently commanding; Trossard has been very good; Raya and Havertz on the other hand have been inconsistent (though I don’t share the totally negative view that some people have about Havertz).
I think our squad and subs bench is stronger than last season and while ideally we would have two world beaters in every position on the pitch, in the real world our subs have made a big difference in lots of games this season. I think it’s a pity that so few Academy players have made it on to the bench or into the team so far – perhaps if we beat Lens and top the CL group, we can remedy that against PSV.
I’d agree that we are not as attractive to watch as last season but in the end results count more than aesthetics. And we are much mentally tougher than last season. This is the toughest league in the world and the standard of the top dozen teams has risen again this year – top teams are losing to others more than in past years. We are one point away from being top of the PL and we have beaten the leaders Man City twice this season for goodness sake ! The player ratings on AT are consistently lower than on all the other websites – people here seem to be unduly harsh on our team.
I think the January window and how quickly Timber can return will probably determine where we finish in the PL this season. I think it will be in the top 3 but probably City will win again. I can’t see us winning the CL but wouldn’t be surprised if we got as far as the semi-finals, depending on the draw.
What do you think ? How would you rate main players so far this season?
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Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2023:11:27:22:48:30 by Padre Pio.
My Expectation to win 2023/24 Title:
Season ….. W ….. D …. L …. F ……. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 … 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 73 … 51 … 22 … … 70 – 5th spot Unai Emery 1st season
2019/20 … 14 … 14 … 10 … 56 … 48 ….. 8 … … 56 – 8th spot Era of 3 Managers
2020/21 … 18 ….. 7 … 13 … 55 … 39 … 16 … … 61 – 8th spot Mikel Arteta 1st full season
2021/22 … 22 ….. 3 … 13 … 61 … 48 … 13 … … 69 – 5th spot Mikel Arteta 2nd full season
2022/23 … 26 ….. 6 ….. 6 … 88 … 43 … 45 … … 84 – 2nd spot Mikel Arteta 3rd full season
2023/24 ….. 8 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 26 … 10 … 16 … … 27 – 8th spot Mikel Arteta 4th full season?
2023/24 … 28 ….. 6 ….. 4 … 90 … 35 … 55 … … 90 – Expectation
Table A – Comparing 1st Half Performance:
Season ….. W ….. D …. L …. F ……. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 … 13 ….. 5 ….. 1 … 36 … 21 … 15 … … 44 – Era of Barca Lite
2019/20 ….. 5 ….. 9 ….. 5 … 25 … 28 …. -3 … … 24 – Era of 3 Managers
2020/21 ….. 8 ….. 3 ….. 8 … 23 … 19 ….. 4 … … 27 – Mikel Arteta 1st full season
2021/22 … 11 ….. 2 ….. 6 … 32 … 23 ….. 9 … … 35 – Mikel Arteta 2nd full season
2022/23 … 16 ….. 2 ….. 1 … 45 … 28 … 17 … … 50 – Scintillating 1st Half Performance Benchmark.
2023/24 ….. 8 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 26 … 10 … 16 … … 27 – Wins are not convincing, struggling to breakdown teams.
To challenge for the 2023/24 title, we must match or better 2007/08 results, collecting at least 44 points.
Look like we are only challenging for Top-4 now.
Table B – 2023/24 Top-10 Results – Round #12:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 9 ….. 1 ….. 2 … 32 … 12 … 20 … … 28 … Manchester City
….. 8 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 27 … 10 … 17 … … 27 … Liverpool
….. 8 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 26 … 10 … 16 … … 27 … Arsenal
….. 8 ….. 2 ….. 2 … 24 … 15 ….. 9 … … 26 … Tiny Totts
….. 8 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 29 … 17 … 12 … … 25 … Aston Villa
….. 7 ….. 0 ….. 5 … 13 … 16 …. -3 … … 21 … Manchester United
….. 6 ….. 2 ….. 4 … 27 … 13 … 14 … … 20 … Newcastle
….. 5 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 21 … 22 …. -1 … … 17 … West Ham United
….. 4 ….. 4 ….. 4 … 21 … 16 ….. 5 … … 16 … Chelski
Table B indicated that 2023/24 title race is tight. A run of favourite results will see ManU, Newcastle and even Chelski will join the title race. Newcastle squad needs strengthening in January Transfer Window to be in title race.
ManU and Chelski have a stronger squad than Arsenal and are starting to gel in November, grinding out results.
Was 2022/23 season is just a freak result, “Mikel Arteta Peak”, and we may never see this kind of season ever again under Mikel Arteta?
Or Mikel Arteta can do one better and win 2023/24 title?
Season ….. W ….. D …. L …. F ……. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 3 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12
2019/20 ….. 2 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 12 … 19 …. -7 … ….. 9
2020/21 ….. 4 ….. 1 ….. 5 ….. 8 … 12 …. -4 … … 13
2021/22 ….. 3 ….. 0 ….. 7 … 13 … 25 …-12 … ….. 9
2022/23 ….. 6 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 20 … 18 ….. 2 … … 19
2023/24 ….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 8 ….. 5 ….. 3 … ….. 8 –
2023/24 ….. 6 ….. 2 ….. 2 … 20 … 10 … 10 … … 20 – Expectation
In 2022/23 season, we collected 19 points in Top-6 Mini-League.
The expectation is to collect at least 20 points from Top-6 Mini-League.
The key to winning the title is not to lose to Top-6 teams, especially Man City.
(Traditional Top-6 teams are Arsenal, Chelski, Tiny Totts, Liverpool, Man City and ManU.)
Table D – 2023/24 Top-6 Mini-League – Round #12:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 8 ….. 5 ….. 3 … ….. 8 … Arsenal
….. 2 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 7 ….. 7 ….. 0 … ….. 7 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 3 ….. 0 … 11 ….. 8 ….. 3 … ….. 6 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 7 ….. 5 ….. 2 … ….. 4 … Manchester City
….. 0 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 2 ….. 3 …. -1 … ….. 1 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 8 …. -7 … ….. 0 … Manchester United
Arsenal must remain unbeaten against Top-6 teams to stand a chance to win the 2023/24 title.
Table D indicated that Chelski are still in the title race.
Table E – 2023/24 Top-6 Results against Bottom-14 – Round #12:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 2 ….. 0 … 25 ….. 7 … 18 … … 26 … Liverpool
….. 8 ….. 0 ….. 1 … 25 ….. 7 … 18 … … 24 … Manchester City
….. 6 ….. 1 ….. 1 … 18 ….. 5 … 13 … … 19 … Arsenal
….. 6 ….. 1 ….. 1 … 17 ….. 8 ….. 9 … … 19 … Tiny Totts
….. 7 ….. 0 ….. 2 … 12 ….. 9 ….. 3 … … 18 … Manchester United
….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 4 … 10 ….. 8 ….. 2 … … 10 … Chelski
Bottom-14 teams include Newcastle.
If we aspire to challenge for Top-4 status, we must maximise points collected against Bottom-14 teams.
That loss to Newcastle is a major setback to our title challenge.
We cannot afford to draw against team like Fulham.
Arsenal Performance against Bottom-14 teams:
… 22W 4D 2L = 70 points expectation for 28 games.
….. 6W 1D 1L = 19 points after playing 8 out of 28 games.
Table F – 2023/24 Home Results – Round #12:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 6 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 23 ….. 5 … 18 … … 18 … Aston Villa
….. 6 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 17 ….. 2 … 15 … … 18 … Liverpool
….. 5 ….. 2 ….. 0 … 18 ….. 7 … 11 … … 17 … Arsenal
….. 5 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 16 ….. 3 … 13 … … 15 … Manchester City
….. 5 ….. 0 ….. 1 … 14 ….. 3 … 11 … … 15 … Newcastle
….. 4 ….. 0 ….. 1 ….. 9 ….. 6 ….. 3 … … 12 … Tiny Totts
….. 4 ….. 0 ….. 4 ….. 7 … 10 …. -3 … … 12 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 10 … 11 …. -1 … ….. 6 … Chelski
Liverpool, Aston Villa and Man City are formidable at home, winning all home games.
Emirates Stadium must be a fortress if we want to challenge for the title.
Manu and Chelski are effectively out of the title race if they continue with their poor home form.
Table G – 2023/24 Away Results – Round #12:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 1 … 15 ….. 9 ….. 6 … … 14 … Tiny Totts
….. 4 ….. 1 ….. 2 … 16 ….. 9 ….. 7 … … 13 … Manchester City
….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 1 … 11 ….. 5 ….. 6 … … 10 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 8 ….. 3 ….. 5 … … 10 … Arsenal
….. 2 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 10 ….. 8 ….. 2 … ….. 9 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 0 ….. 2 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 2 ….. 1 ….. 3 ….. 6 … 12 …. -6 … ….. 7 … Aston Villa
….. 1 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 13 … 10 ….. 3 … ….. 5 … Newcastle
Man City away form is mediocre and not as dominating as before, but still the best of the lot.
With their dominating home form, no wonder Man City is 84% certainty to win 2023/24 title.
The Chasing Pack away form is mediocre as well and not one team is pulling away in title race
Arsenal and ManU have a major problem in scoring away goals.
"To one who has faith, no explanation is necessary. To one without faith, no explanation is possible.” Saint Thomas Aquinas
We need to get that left 8 functioning if we want to challenge.
The way City can swap their wingers on 60 minutes for two players equally as good is a worry. We could do with a rotation option for Saka
[www.justarsenal.com]
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2023:11:17:15:43:52 by Padre Pio.
Squad is not good enough to compete on all fronts again.
Gave up a cup competition again.
Will probably give the FA Cup up as well.
Both because squad depth isn't good enough.
Doing ok in the league but not very pretty to watch.
Need injuries to clear to keep in the top 4.
"𝗜𝗳 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁. 𝗜𝗳 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱, 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗻𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴."
We just wouldn’t have the strength or depth of squad to maintain a challenge. We felt relieved whenever we exited or failed to achieve the secondary competition.
Now it’s very different having narrowly missed the title here we are back in the CL which Wenger believed was a trophy.
Clearly the squad wasn’t good enough and needed strengthening. This is strictly having to integrate new players, new systems and the Wednesday night ritual.
Yes there have been flops, but surely it’s all far better than we could have hoped for 2years ago.
Still challenging for title, nearly qualified for second stage of CL, and kept going inspite of loss of several key players to injury.
The jury is still out on some, but others have over performed.
Plus the constant interruptions of int breaks.
So all in all I would give it 8 of ten. That’s a good mark, surely 9 out of ten and you are either msn city or on the way to the big pots
"When we had to suffer the team is a lion because they suffer together." 4 July 2020 at Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arteta on his team's first away victory at a club above them in the Premiership since September 2015 at Leicester.
We've also done well enough in big games. Beating Utd and City, the Chavs comeback. If not for Jorginho's screw up, we would have beaten Spurs.
After 1/3 of the season I'd like to see the top 6 table. Who's in this so called top 6 this season anyway?
We also need a 'fecked by refs' and 'fecked by injuries' table as well. We must be near the top of those too.
So all in all I'm happy with our PL and CL season so far. But that 7 needs to turn into a 9, not a 6, between now and Christmas.
I agree with almost all that’s been said above.
Pros. Top3 , defence, Rice and set-piece.
Cons. Injuries, Havertz, GKs and rotation.
Rating 7.5/10.
Cheerz
Since the end of WW1, 1919, when the FA restarted its 4 tier football league, with Arsenal fc in the 1st div, there’s only ever been one club to have never been relegated from Div 1/ EPL.
Arsenal fc
Let’s keep making history
