The business end of the season


Pen to paper
By David Sindall
March 24 2025

I have a total dislike of calling this the business end, but we have to get your attention somehow. There are 46 League games across the season, they all affect our final placing. Undoubtedly though, it’s the last half dozen or so matches where the pressure mounts, fingernails are chewed, reality bites.

 

Some seem to think that a six point cushion will be enough to keep us safe. This ignores the challenges ahead and, far more importantly, Tranmere’s uncanny ability to make life far more complicated than it need be. I’ve looked through the remaining games in the mini-league that is emerging at the bottom of the table. I’ve tried to analyse which games are against opponents with little to play for and those where the opponents are either chasing promotion or fellow strugglers. There is a big caveat here. Teams like Cheltenham  and Chesterfield are a way short of play off contention, but they play most of the strugglers over the next few weeks. Things can change. 

 

The games in upper case are the ones where the teams being played are either chasing promotion or in a relegation dog-fight

 

Accrington

BRADFORD (H)

Bromley (A)

TRANMERE (H)

Salford (A)

CARLISLE (H)

WALSALL (A)

Chesterfield (H)

 

Harrogate

Gillingham (H)

TRANMERE (H)

WIMBLEDON (A)

GRIMSBY (H)

WALSALL (A)

NOTTS CO (H)

MORECAMBE (A)

 

Tranmere

Cheltenham (H)

HARROGATE (A)

Chesterfield (H)

ACCRINGTON (A)

DONCASTER (H)

Barrow (A)

CREWE (H)

Newport (A)

 

Morecambe 

Swindon (H)

Cheltenham (H)

GRIMSBY (A)

CARLISLE (H)

Bromley (A)

Salford (H)

Chesterfield (A)

HARROGATE (H)

 

Carlisle 

MK Dons (H)

DONCASTER (A)

Newport (H)

Chesterfield (H)

MORECAMBE (A)

PORT VALE (H)

ACCRINGTON (A)

Cheltenham (H)

Salford (H)

 

Harrogate probably have the toughest run in, particularly with their final game away at Morecambe. Carlisle have the advantage of two home games on the trot at the end of the season. We have a difficult but not impossible run in.

 

There are 6 weeks of the season left. It looks like we are heading into squeaky bum time. Nothing is decided, there is still drama to come.

The business end of the season
Posted by: Total Tranmere (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 10:24

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Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: TRFCooooooo (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 12:07

I think we just need to concentrate on ourselves, but do appreciate that other matches/results can influence.
We are in the driving seat, even if Carlisle manage to get a result on Tuesday with their game in hand.
Would like to see the fantastic support continue, home and away, to get us over the line and finish as high as we can.

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: jonesy792 (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 12:10

Carlisle worry me and could easily pull us back into trouble.

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: Ingleboro08 (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 13:15

There is always twists and turns in the run in.
And I think there will be probably more than one till this awful season is over.

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: Crazylegs Cranebird (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 14:27

Carlisle (A) and Harrogate (A) should have an extra game to those listed?

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: CleeHillRoadROAR (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 15:20

Carlisle have Newport County at home on 5/4, itโ€™s missing from the list above.

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: DevonExile (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 18:56

Carlisle are more of a danger than Morecambe but it really is in our own hands. All season we have bemoaned our away form but paradoxically it is our home form that now concerns me more. Since February, at home we have Won 1 Drawn 3 Lost 2. Draws at home are points lost rather than gained. The fixtures in that period have not been exceptionally demanding. Some of those results might be attributed to NA, but there is no escaping the fact that our problems in not scoring make us acutely vulnerable to home draws, even when playing relatively well. I cannot help feeling that we will need at least two wins from the 4 home games and then three draws from the away games and the balance of other home games.
A month ago it was hard to see where the next win could come from, not so now, but comments expressing certainty that we will be safe still feel an over reaction to what is thus far a short period of improvement

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: Bored rover (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 19:29

Harrogate nor Accrington are in the relegation fight , they are 11 points clear with 9 games to play , Carlisle and Morecambe aren't taking 12 points out of them its between the bottom 3 now and I think Morecambe are done, it will be between us and Carlisle so its a priority that we match Carlisles results as a minimum, they could be 1 point behind us by Saturday evening

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: ALOTBSOL (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 19:32

Last 5 games
Tranmere 9 points
Carlisle 7 points
Morecambe 1point

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: ALOTBSOL (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 19:35

Quote:
Bored rover
Harrogate nor Accrington are in the relegation fight , they are 11 points clear with 9 games to play , Carlisle and Morecambe aren't taking 12 points out of them its between the bottom 3 now and I think Morecambe are done, it will be between us and Carlisle so its a priority that we match Carlisles results as a minimum, they could be 1 point behind us by Saturday evening

And they could also be 10 points behind

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: Jack of all Trades (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 20:02

No long term Rovers supporter should ever be complacent.

BR is right, in simplistic terms, we need to match the Carlisle results and we both have difficult fixtures still to play. Harrogate and Accrington are both on 41 points and IMO still looking nervously over their shoulders and a win on Friday night, will put added pressure on their Saturday games.

Last 5 Games
SWA W2 D3 L0 (9 pts)
Carlisle W2 D1 L2 (7Pts)

Since sacking their manager MK Dons have won 2 and lost 1 (beating Cheltenham 1-0 last time out), so I don't believe Carlisle will have an easy game tomorrow.

Even if they do win, they are still 4 points behind with 8 games to play.

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: Bored rover (IP Logged)
Date: 24/03/2025 20:21

Quote:
ALOTBSOL
Quote:
Bored rover
Harrogate nor Accrington are in the relegation fight , they are 11 points clear with 9 games to play , Carlisle and Morecambe aren't taking 12 points out of them its between the bottom 3 now and I think Morecambe are done, it will be between us and Carlisle so its a priority that we match Carlisles results as a minimum, they could be 1 point behind us by Saturday evening

And they could also be 10 points behind

Yes and fingers crossed for that but they are picking up results now under Sparky

Re: The business end of the season
Posted by: ALOTBSOL (IP Logged)
Date: 25/03/2025 23:35

Quote:
Bored rover
Quote:
ALOTBSOL
Quote:
Bored rover
Harrogate nor Accrington are in the relegation fight , they are 11 points clear with 9 games to play , Carlisle and Morecambe aren't taking 12 points out of them its between the bottom 3 now and I think Morecambe are done, it will be between us and Carlisle so its a priority that we match Carlisles results as a minimum, they could be 1 point behind us by Saturday evening

And they could also be 10 points behind

Yes and fingers crossed for that but they are picking up results now under Sparky

Well 9 points behind ๐Ÿ˜Ž

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